Monday, 20 January 2025

Asia stocks fall on renewed anxiety over trade, growth risks

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TOKYO: Asian stocks lost ground on Friday as investors worried about a broadening global economic slowdown, with sentiment not helped by the absence of any positive signs for a resolution in the US-China trade row.

Safe-haven government bonds benefited in the face of growing anxiety over the global outlook, with German long-term debt yields falling to their lowest in over two years.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan shed 0.7 per cent, easing back from a four-month peak touched the previous day. The index was down 0.3 per cent on the week.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng lost 0.8 per cent and South Korea’s KOSPI retreated 1.2 per cent. Japan’s Nikkei tumbled 1.6 per cent.

The European Commission on Thursday sharply cut its forecasts for euro zone economic growth this year and next, stoking fears a global slowdown is spreading to Europe as businesses and investors grapple with trade frictions.

Adding to the gloomy mood, US President Donald Trump said he did not plan to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping before a March 1 deadline to achieve a trade deal.

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“Investors are getting nervous as the market had been optimistic about a resolution of the trade dispute since the beginning of the year,” said Shusuke Yamada, chief Japan FX and equity strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

Trump’s stance rattled investors hoping for a resolution to the months-long trade dispute between the world’s biggest economies.

Wall Street shares slumped in response overnight, with the Dow falling 0.9 per cent to pull back from a two-month peak scaled midweek on upbeat corporate results.

“With many of the corporate earnings out of the way, equities appeared ready for a correction after their recent highs,” said Masahiro Ichikawa, senior strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management.

“Equities will face further hurdles next week, as (US Treasury Secretary Steven) Mnuchin and (Trade Representative Robert) Lighthizer will be visiting China. Brexit talks are also in focus.”

Mnuchin and Lighthizer are expected to kick off another round of trade talks in Beijing next week to push for a deal to protect American intellectual property and avert a March 2 increase in US tariffs on Chinese goods.

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The 10-year US Treasury yield extended its overnight decline to a one-week low of 2.645 per cent.

The 10-year German bund yield fell to 0.105 per cent on Thursday, its lowest since November 2016 after the European Commission’s sharp cuts to growth and inflation forecasts.

The euro sagged under the weight of declining German bund yields. The single currency was down 0.2 per cent at $1.1339 after dropping to a two-week low of $1.1325 the previous day. It was on track for a 1 per cent weekly loss.

The dollar was little changed at 109.760 yen, nudged off a high of 110.09 reached the previous day. The yen tends to attract demand in times of political tensions and market volatility due to its perceived safe-haven status.

Yet, the US currency was still headed for a small weekly gain of 0.3 per cent against the yen, supported by the earlier rise in Treasury yields.

The Australian dollar was on course to end a bearish week firmly on the back foot, last trading down 0.35 per cent at $0.7078 after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut its growth outlook.

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The Aussie slid sharply on Wednesday after the RBA stepped back from its long-standing tightening bias, saying the next move in rates could just as well be down as up. The currency was headed for a weekly loss of 2.3 per cent.

In commodities, US crude futures slipped 0.5 per cent to $52.37 per barrel, extending losses after dropping 2.5 per cent in the previous session. Brent crude was down 0.35 per cent at $61.42 per barrel.

Oil fell on Thursday as the market was hurt by concerns that global demand growth would lag in the coming year.  – Reuters

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